empty
19.06.2025 09:55 AM
GBP/USD: The British Pound Faces the Prospect of a Bank of England Rate Cut

The British currency is under pressure due to the growing likelihood of another divergence in interest rate levels between the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England—not in the latter's favor. While the U.S. central bank has consistently signaled over the past six months that it is not planning to lower rates anytime soon, its British counterpart is again facing the prospect of easing policy amid falling inflation in the United Kingdom. Yes, the dollar still suffers from systemic weakness, but the pound isn't doing particularly well either, which may result in a localized decline for the pair.

From a technical standpoint, the pair shows the divergence between oscillators and price. However, it has yet to fall below the key level of 1.3400, a breach of which could open the path downward.

Technical View and Trade Idea:

This image is no longer relevant

The price is currently trading below the middle line of the Bollinger Bands and below both the 5-day and 14-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA). The RSI is above the oversold zone and moving horizontally. The Stochastic indicator is below the 50% level and provides no clear signals.

I believe that a drop in price and a firm move below the 1.3400 mark could lead to a decline toward 1.3265. A probable entry point for short positions may be considered around the 1.3390 level.

Pati Gani,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Summary
Urgency
Analytic
Viktor Vasilevsky
Start trade
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

Forex forecast 21/07/2025: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, Gold, Oil and Bitcoin

Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful

Sebastian Seliga 10:04 2025-07-21 UTC+2

If the Kiwi manages to break above its pivot level, the Kiwi has the potential to strengthen today, Monday, July 21, 2025.

NZD/USD, Monday, July 21, 2025 Although technically, all indicators still point to weakness, the emergence of divergence between price movement and the RSI(14) indicator indicates a potential reversal today

Arief Makmur 06:25 2025-07-21 UTC+2

EUR/USD has the potential to strengthen towards its nearest resistance today, Monday, July 21, 2025.

EUR/USD, Monday, July 21, 2025 Although the 50-day moving average (EMA) is still below the 200-day moving average (EMA), indicating a bearish neutrality, and the RSI (14)

Arief Makmur 06:24 2025-07-21 UTC+2

EUR/USD Forecast for July 21, 2025

The euro continues to trade sideways within the range of 1.1535–1.1692, staying between the balance line (red) and the MACD line (blue). The Marlin oscillator is slowly declining in negative

Laurie Bailey 04:59 2025-07-21 UTC+2

GBP/USD Forecast for July 21, 2025

With minor assumptions, the pound's five-day sideways movement can be viewed as a consolidation above the 1.3369 level. If this is the case, the price is likely to soon settle

Laurie Bailey 04:59 2025-07-21 UTC+2

USD/CAD Forecast for July 21, 2025

On Friday and this morning, the price has been supported by the balance line. A breakout above the July 18 high would mark a clear confirmation of this support, with

Laurie Bailey 04:59 2025-07-21 UTC+2

Gold Forecast for July 21, 2025

Gold is gradually reinforcing its upward trend. On the daily chart, the Marlin oscillator has secured its position in positive territory and is attempting to push the price further away

Laurie Bailey 04:59 2025-07-21 UTC+2

Forex forecast 18/07/2025: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, Oil, Ethereum and Bitcoin

Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful

Sebastian Seliga 14:51 2025-07-18 UTC+2

GBP/USD. Daily Overview on July 18, 2025

On Thursday, the pair moved downward and nearly tested the lower fractal at 1.3369 (yellow dashed line), then reversed upward and closed the daily candlestick at 1.3412. Today, the pair

Stefan Doll 13:14 2025-07-18 UTC+2

XAU/USD. Analysis and Forecast

Today, gold is rising. The recent price movement within a range observed since the beginning of this month represents the formation of a "rectangle" pattern, indicating trader indecision. In addition

Irina Yanina 13:06 2025-07-18 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.