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11.07.2022 08:30 PM
Gold: imminent breakdown

Gold was trading in the red at 1,734 on the H1 chart at the time of writing. In the short term, it continues to move sideways. As you already know from my analyses, the bias remains bearish. The current range pattern could represent a distribution before dropping deeper.

Fundamentally, the yellow metal was expected to drop deeper after the US Non-Farm Employment Change came in at 372K in June versus 260K expected. The Unemployment Rate and the Average Hourly Earnings came in line with expectations. In the short term, it could extend its sideways movement. On Wednesday, the fundamentals could move XAU/USD. The US inflation data, BOC, and the RBNZ are seen as high-impact events.

XAU/USD Strong Bearish Pressure!

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XAU/USD is still trapped between 1,747 and 1,732 levels. You know from my analyses that a valid breakout from this pattern could bring new opportunities. It's premature to talk about long or short setups as long as it's trading inside this formation.

As you can see, the yellow metal registered false breakouts from this formation, so you have to be careful and wait for a fresh opportunity. Now, it has almost reached 1,732, it remains to see how it will react around this key support.

XAU/USD Forecast!

A new lower low, dropping and closing below 1,729 could activate more declines and could bring a new selling signal.

Registering only false breakdowns below 1,732 could announce a new bullish momentum towards 1,747.

Ralph Shedler,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
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