empty
16.04.2025 06:48 PM
No Progress in Negotiations

This week, the European Union and the United States made no significant progress in resolving trade disputes, as officials from President Donald Trump's administration indicated that most of the U.S. tariffs imposed on the bloc would not be lifted.

This image is no longer relevant

Despite the negotiations, both sides held firm to their positions. U.S. representatives insisted that the EU must make substantial concessions and lower trade barriers for American goods. In turn, European negotiators argued that the tariffs imposed by the U.S. are unfair and violate World Trade Organization rules. Of particular concern to European officials were the steel and aluminum tariffs, which they claim are seriously harming European industry. They also expressed alarm over U.S. plans to introduce additional tariffs on European cars.

Rumors suggest that EU Trade Committee head Maros Sefcovic left the meeting without clarity on the U.S. stance. American officials indicated that the 20% reciprocal tariffs, which Trump reduced to 10%, as well as other tariffs targeting sectors like autos and metals, would not be lifted immediately.

It's worth recalling that uncertainty surrounding Trump's chaotic tactics—filled with delays, retreats, new threats, sudden exemptions, and trial balloons—has already led to a sharp rise in the euro and a weakening of the U.S. dollar. Clearly, this trend is likely to continue.

The EU proposed that both sides eliminate all tariffs on industrial goods, including automobiles, but Trump has so far rejected this offer. Experts have repeatedly pointed out that although Trump seems to be banking on a 25% tariff on imported vehicles and auto parts to boost domestic production, the outcome may not be so straightforward.

Elsewhere, in Canada, Prime Minister Mark Carney stated that his government would allow automakers to import U.S.-made cars and trucks duty-free, as long as the companies continue to manufacture vehicles in Canada. This move provides some relief from the trade war for companies like General Motors and Stellantis, which have assembly plants in Ontario but export large volumes of vehicles from the U.S. to Canada.

Technical Outlook for EUR/USD:

Buyers now need to focus on reclaiming the 1.1420 level. Only then can a test of 1.1467 be expected. From there, a climb to 1.1525 is possible, though achieving this without support from major market players will be challenging. The ultimate target is the 1.1545 high. In case of a decline, serious buying interest is expected only around 1.1340. If there's no activity at that level, it would be prudent to wait for a retest of the 1.1260 low or to consider long positions from 1.1165.

Technical Outlook for GBP/USD:

Pound buyers need to take control of the nearest resistance at 1.3300. Only then can they aim for 1.3345, a level that will be difficult to break above. The next target would be the 1.3390 area. In case of a decline, bears will attempt to reclaim control over 1.3250. If they succeed, a breakout below that range would deal a serious blow to the bulls and could push GBP/USD down to the 1.3180 low, with further downward potential toward 1.3130.

Jakub Novak,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

Trump's Tax Plan to Increase U.S. Deficit by Nearly $3.3 Trillion

According to a new assessment by the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office, the Senate's latest version of President Donald Trump's tax and spending package would increase the U.S. deficit by nearly

Jakub Novak 12:35 2025-06-30 UTC+2

Are There Still Chances for Trade Deals?

The euro, the pound, and other risk-sensitive assets continue to rise against the weakening U.S. dollar, although the possibility of a rebound in the dollar—as well as the conclusion

Jakub Novak 12:31 2025-06-30 UTC+2

Bitcoin outshines competitors

Expectations vs. reality Cryptocurrency creators once envisioned a universe where countless tokens could compete for investors' money. In reality, aside from Bitcoin and a handful of digital assets, the rest

Marek Petkovich 12:15 2025-06-30 UTC+2

US stock market fed up with "smart money"

The end of June brought a spectacular rally for the S&P 500. Not only did the broad stock index hit a new all-time high for the first time since February

Marek Petkovich 11:15 2025-06-30 UTC+2

Markets End the First Summer Month on a Positive Note (with a Likely Continuation of #USDX Decline and EUR/USD Growth)

The ceasefire between Iran and Israel is providing significant support for the growth in demand for risk assets, and expectations of negotiations between contact groups starting this week are further

Pati Gani 10:04 2025-06-30 UTC+2

What to Pay Attention to on June 30? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

There are only a few macroeconomic reports scheduled for Monday. Perhaps the most important is the final Q1 GDP report in the United Kingdom. Let us recall that the British

Paolo Greco 06:02 2025-06-30 UTC+2

GBP/USD Overview – June 30: Nonfarm Payrolls, Powell, and Unemployment

The GBP/USD currency pair rose by 300 pips over the past week and appears to be in no hurry to stop. Even on Friday, the price failed to initiate

Paolo Greco 03:37 2025-06-30 UTC+2

EUR/USD Overview – June 30: European Inflation and Another Round of Lagarde Speeches

The EUR/USD currency pair has been rising for five consecutive months. During this time, we've only seen a few minor downward corrections, each ending in another collapse of the U.S

Paolo Greco 03:37 2025-06-30 UTC+2

U.S. Dollar – Weekly Preview

The American news background will once again play a key role for the dollar and, therefore, for the market and the vast majority of instruments. This past week, only

Chin Zhao 00:34 2025-06-30 UTC+2

British Pound – Weekly Preview

The situation for the British pound in the market and news landscape is quite similar. For the pound, two rate cuts by the Bank of England in 2025 or zero

Chin Zhao 00:34 2025-06-30 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.