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28.04.2025 03:51 AM
美元/日圓 – 總結與展望
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上周,市場創下新低,但賣方未能完全繼續向下運動。這可能是因為前一週的低點(141.63)被月度支撐位(141.96)所鞏固。因此,跌勢被阻止,並且該貨幣對開始顯示出向上的修正。由於這一修正,多頭重新獲得了來自日線短期趨勢的支撐,目前位於141.97,並繼續向上推進。

目前最近的目標是日線Ichimoku均衡表的阻力位(144.22 – 145.56),現在被週線短期趨勢(145.56)和月線中期趨勢(145.81)所鞏固。突破這些阻力位將使市場重點轉向新的前景。

如果修正性的上漲結束,並且該貨幣對跌破接近141.96的最近支撐(每月Ichimoku均衡表的最終水平 + 日線Tenkan),這將為賣方帶來新的挑戰。空頭將需要恢復下降趨勢(139.90),並繼續向裂雲的每週目標(133.23 – 136.10)下降,這些目標由月度雲層的上邊界(133.88)所鞏固。

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目前買方佔據主要優勢。經典枢軸點阻力位將成為日內增長發展的附加參考點。

在上升趨勢完成後,最近且最重要的參考點將是關鍵水平的支撐位:142.79(日線中央枢軸點)和142.04(周線長期趨勢)。若趨勢突破並反轉,主要優勢將轉移至賣方,從而支撐進一步的看跌情緒發展。日內下跌的參考點是經典枢軸點的支撐位。實際Pivot值将在市場開盤時提供並每日更新。

***

技術分析組件:
  • 高時間框架:一目均衡表(9.26.52)和斐波那契基準水平
  • H1:經典枢軸點和120期移動平均線(週期長期趨勢)

Evangelos Poulakis,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
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