Technical outlook:

USDZAR rose above 16.09 during the New York session on Tuesday, falling in line with earlier projections. The US dollar gained ground across the board but the currency pair failed to push through the 16.20-30 interim resistance zone. It is quite possible that the pair will continue trading in the range between 15.70 and 16.10 for a while before breaking higher towards 17.10.

USDZAR has been broadly unfolding a larger degree corrective rally since June 2021 after printing lows around 13.37 as shown on the daily chart here. The corrective phase is expected to terminate at around the Fibonacci 0.618 retracement, which is seen at around 17.10. Bulls have carved the first wave through 16.36 followed by a corrective decline towards 14.40 as second wave termination.

USDZAR has been into its last leg higher from the 14.40 lows. It is expected to break higher towards 17.10 soon. The currency has carved a higher low at around 15.16 and ideally, prices should settle higher. Traders might be preparing to hold long positions for now and target the 17.10-40 levels against 15.00.

Trading plan:

Potential rally through 17.10 against 15.00

Good luck!